Friday, October 28, 2016

How will 3-D printing technology disrupt conventional construction practices?

 March 2017, a team at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory plans to unveil the world’s first 3-D printed excavator, a proof of concept project intended to test the current limits of printing with metal alloys and determine the feasibility of creating heavy industrial equipment using so-called additive manufacturing — or 3-D printing — technologies.
Dubbed Project AME (Additive Manufactured Excavator), the effort is backed by the National Science Foundation and the Association of Equipment Manufacturers, and it is the latest high-profile project to demonstrate the opportunities for 3-D printing in the construction industry. Already, builders in China have unveiled a 3-D printed single family home and a six-story multifamily apartment building. Globally, sales of 3-D printers are expected to grow to $14.6 billion by 2019, according to a 2015 forecast by technology research firm Gartner.
For the construction industry, 3-D printing technology could substantially disrupt conventional building practices by offering modular construction alternatives, onsite manufacturing of building materials, and the ability to create parts, tools and even complete machines on-demand. While additive manufacturing holds the promise of reduced build times and costs, experts caution that the technology could further isolate low-skilled labor pools, threaten supply chains and require much wider recruitment of technologists and robotics specialists to the industry.  

Big printers, big costs

Regardless of Project AME’s success, the likelihood of 3-D printed heavy equipment becoming a widespread reality on job sites any time soon is remote.
Platt Boyd, the founder of Branch Technology, is focused on applying 3-D printing and robotic technologies to improve traditional building practices by minimizing rather than maximizing the use of additive manufacturing.
"There’s a lot of hype out there, but 3-D printing is not the solution for everything. It is something that is applicable in certain cases, but in most cases involving commodity construction, it is not the solution," Boyd said. "There are a lot of ways to frame and build a building that are going to be faster and cheaper than 3-D printing it."
For now, that includes manufacturing complex machinery, especially systems and equipment printed of metal alloys that require large, expensive printers. "There’s a high church of 3-D printing doing things with powder-based laser manufacturing using high performance alloys and very high resolution printers," said Joshua Pearce, an associate professor at the Michigan Tech Open Sustainability Technology Lab. "Those efforts are high-performance in every sense of the word, but the printers cost half a million dollars and have to be put in a special blast room to operate. They’re not ready for the construction site yet."
In fact, Project AME will utilize a Concept Laser machine to produce metal parts using a powder-bed-based laser melting process, and project lead Lonnie Love said in an announcement that 3-D printing of construction vehicles may not become a common practice, even among OEMs, but it could still help reduce industry costs by printing highly complex building components.
Hardware size is also a hindrance to broad-scale adoption of 3-D print capabilities in construction. Printers used in China by the Winsun Decoration Design Engineering Co. to create its demonstration apartment building, for example, were 20 feet tall, 33 feet wide and 132 feet long. The builder estimates that use of 3-D printing technologies eliminated 60% of the materials and 80% of the labor required to build the 11,840-square-foot apartment building. 

Models to help scale 3-D printing technology

Rob Schulten is vice president of Atlanta, GA,-based New South Construction, which is using 3-D print technology to create conceptual models of complex projects, including the firm’s modernization of the terminals at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport in Atlanta. "When you talk about someone 3-D printing an excavator, that’s a marketing exercise, and where we are beginning to see value in 3-D printing is not so much as a marketing tool but as a collaboration tool," he said.
A major highlight of the modernization is the construction of two canopies to cover the terminal approaches. To help steel fabricators and erectors improve their bids for the project, New South 3-D printed a scale model of the steel structure to demonstrate how it connects to the foundation of the terminal.
"This is something we see value in now as it removes a lot of the project uncertainty that can artificially increase a price," Shulten said. "It prepares our contractor team to be more successful, and if you can save just two or three days sitting around trying to figure out a problem on a project of this scale, it should translate into real dollars saved."
While New South also used virtual reality for immersive design review and project collaboration, Shulten said the tactile nature of a 3-D prototype model has advantages over VR in group settings. "When we use Oculus Rift for immersive review, one person has the headset on at a time," he said. "When you have a tactile piece that you can set in the middle of the room, conceptualization becomes more conversational, and you can get more people involved."  
Based on the success of using 3-D models for Hartsfield-Jackson Airport and other projects, New South is considering the purchase of its own printers and moving its 3-D print operations in-house. Investment into a $10,000 3-D printer would likely be offset by savings on just a handful of projects, and Shulten said the company’s virtual design team can easily manage the technology. "Even when we outsource, we’re doing most of the design for the printing company already," he said. "We send them a model that is ready to go and they just hit print."

Technology, tools and talent

New South may be privileged in that regard, as one of the primary challenges to the growth of 3-D printing in the construction industry will be finding specialists to operate the technology. Even the relatively simple creation of high-impact plastic tools requires some operator knowledge of CAD and the growth of a wider, downloadable library of product designs that has yet to be developed.
"There’s been a lot of hype about parts manufacturing that likewise hasn’t yet come to bear," Boyd said. "It is not to the point yet on small-scale 3-D printers where you don’t have to know how to model with 3-D print technologies. You have to have a skill set to operate that machine."
Instead of printing basic tools and parts on the job site, AEC professionals are likely to avail themselves to 3-D print centers and traditional suppliers as they develop 3-D print technologies. UPS recently expanded its on-demand 3-D print services to Singapore, and Home Depot has explored pilot programs with 3-D printing company MakerBot. "At some point we’re looking at the promise of going to a Home Depot and having a part or tool printed that you send them electronically," Shulten said.
Pearce agreed, but nevertheless warned that a disruptive impact to the construction industry from additive manufacturing is inevitable, and job site automation as a whole puts many job classes at risk. "We think it is flagrantly obvious how far 3-D printers are going to go, and workers need to get out ahead of what a relatively simple robot or a couple of lines of code can do," he said. "If you don’t, your job is in peril."
That the current 3-D printing zeitgeist was set into motion largely by the RepRap Project — the effort to create a 3-D printer that can print itself — offers little solace to robot-phobics concerned about the impact of automation and machine learning, even if, as Pearce attested "we're not quite to the level of Terminator-esque technologies yet."

Bearing the load

Paradoxically, 3-D printing technology and the modular, prefab construction techniques it promotes might also be an answer to the construction industry’s current labor woes. "Recruiting people into construction remains very difficult, so looking at how we can bring prefabrication to bear is an advantage," Boyd said. "Looking at building as a factory process and not an onsite process can begin to address the labor shortage that is occurring and growing in the construction industry."
Survey data compiled in August 2016 by the Associated General Contractors of America found that more than two-thirds (69%) of general contractors are finding it difficult to fill craft labor vacancies. Another 75% of respondents expect hiring woes to continue into 2017, prompting the AGC to call on the federal and state governments to boost technical training at the middle school and high school levels. 
Branch Technology, for one, will look next year to complete the first 3-D printed house in the U.S. using a combination of prefabricated, 3-D printed wall panels and components that integrate with other building systems and traditional materials. By combining robotics with 3-D print technologies, the team also hopes to get around the size constraints of large-project printers. A key to the success of that process will be developing load-bearing components that can cost-effectively be created using 3-D printing technology.
"Load bearing is one of the things we are going after and trying to validate, so we’re going through due diligence of ICC-certification testing and ASTM E72 testing on load-bearing capabilities," Boyd said. Use of a robotic arm versus a gantry printer will allow creation of components 22 feet long and 7 feet tall that can be shipped to the job site.
One thing unlikely to be found on the Branch Technology build-out will be 3-D printed heavy equipment. "Sorry to be the reality check, particularly as we are certainly vested in developing these technologies for construction, but there are still only a handful of 3-D print projects in the world that have built anything," Boyd said. "Ultimately, this is still very early stage technology."
As the Gartner forecast said, 3-D printing is likely to follow the hype-cycle of most nascent technologies, growing slowly before enjoying sudden media interest and hype about what the technology can and will do, followed by disillusionment as the reality of adoption challenges are realized, leading to the steady development of use cases and eventual global adoption.

MIT: Trump's border wall would actually cost $40B


Dive Brief:

  • When it comes to building a border wall between the U.S. and Mexico, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump needs to check his math, according to the MIT Technology Review.
  • While Trump has estimated the cost for such an endeavor to fall between $8 billion and $12 billion, New America Foundation fellow Konstantin Kakaes said the wall, as described by Trump, would actually cost around $40 billion.
  • A 1,000-mile-long, 50-foot-tall wall with a 15-foot foundation, Kakaes said, would cost nearly $9 billion in concrete, $4.6 billion in reinforcing steel and at least $27 billion for labor.

Dive Insight:

The wall is not the only piece of U.S. infrastructure at play in the 2016 election. The country's aging highways and bridges have been an issue for some time now, and business groups have asked both Trump and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton to make them a priority if elected. The coalition of organizations, which includes the Associated General Contractors of America, said they stand at the ready to assist the next president to that end.
As for the candidates, Clinton said she will send her five-year, $275 billion infrastructure plan to Congress within the first 100 days of her administration. Part of her plan, she said, is the creation of a national "infrastructure bank." Although even lighter on details, Trump said he would utilize bonds and invest "at least double" the amount of whatever infrastructure investment Clinton proposed.
A Bloomberg report last month reinforced the idea that necessary infrastructure improvements also can provide economic benefit. Using Denver International Airport as an example, Bloomberg said that a 30-year-old, $2 billion investment in the airport created 270,000 jobs and, to this day, yields an annual $26 billion economic benefit for the area.
Regardless of which candidate wins the election, infrastructure must be a priority. According to the American Society of Civil Engineers, the country currently faces a $1.44 trillion infrastructure funding gap that could grow to $5.18 trillion by 2040 if left unchecked.

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Design research seeing broader adoption — but challenges remain

Design research seeing broader adoption — but challenges remain


Dive Brief:

  • Architecture and engineering firms Perkins Eastman and Ewing Cole have released a white paper discussing the challenges and opportunities for successfully incorporating design research into improved design delivery.
  • "Where Are We Now? Elevating Design Practice through Design Research" is based on findings from a 29-question survey on design research roles and responsibilities including students, educators, designers and design research professionals. Among survey takers, only 25% said incorporating research into the standard design process is either easy or very easy, while another 25% reported incorporating research is difficult, and an additional 17% said it’s very difficult (one-third of participants were neutral on the subject).
  • While some survey respondents reported struggling with keeping up to date on technology and software to guide design research, finding workarounds and creating alternative tools helped with solution discovery and often led to unanticipated innovations.  
  • Dive Insight:

    At the architectural end of the AEC universe, it can perhaps be easy to understand how research not only informs but incorporates a large portion of the design process. Since its formation as a discipline in the early 1960s, design research has sought to expand both the concept and the embedded role of research is design work, particularly as it incorporates interaction design — involving the human/computer interaction evolution — and software development.
    And yet enterprise investment into design research remains threadbare. The Perkins Eastman survey analysis found many firms simply don’t have enough billable work to support a research unit, creating staffing, overhead and salary challenges to fund research.
    Established BIM and design software firms have been successful in funding organic research design and also acquiring it, as Autodesk did with New York City–based architect and researcher David Benjamin’s The Living design studio in 2014 as a foray into construction typology and materials research.
    As it relates to construction technology, design research is frequently battle-tested in the 3-D printing arena, most notably at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory, which in the past several months announced active research and development projects to create a 3-D-printed excavator as well as set a new world record for the largest 3-D printed component using robotic arm technology.
    Post-occupancy property and asset management isn’t bereft of its design research adherents either. Case in point: coworking space developer WeWork, which in August 2016 began an exhaustive analysis of the architectural planning, programming and design of the modern workplace.

Aging dams could be next US infrastructure emergency-origin-nyi.thehill.com

With thousands of aging dams in the U.S. now considered obsolete, policymakers should consider removing unnecessary and unsafe dams, according to a new report from the Center for American Progress (CAP).


The report says dam infrastructure has suffered from the same chronic underinvestment that has led to the nation’s crumbling roads, bridges and airports.
The result has caused many of the country’s nearly 2 million dams to be deemed costly and deficient, and CAP is hoisting a red flag about the issue before it reaches a crisis level.

“We’re hearing a lot about infrastructure these days, and the need to deal with crumbling infrastructure,” David Hayes, a senior fellow at CAP, said during a panel discussion on Tuesday. “And guess what? That applies to our dams as well.”

But instead of urging policymakers to fix every aging dam across the country, CAP is advocating for the removal of certain structures on a case-by-case basis.

“We need to be smart about which ones we keep and how we maximize their use,” Hayes said.

By 2020, at least 65 percent of dams will be more than 50 years old and 27 percent will be more than 80 years old, according to CAP. Thirty-one percent of dams are classified as a “significant” or “high” hazard, with less than half of those having an emergency action plan.

Dams were built largely for economic purposes, with benefits that include flood and debris control, water storage and irrigation, hydropower, navigation and recreation.

“Americans embraced and celebrated dams as good and necessary structures. We built dams, and lots of them,” Hayes said. “Over time, skepticism began to creep in about whether perhaps we went too far. We also started to realize how destructive dams could be to the environment.”

Because most dams were built before the 1980s, the need and benefits of the structures have either diminished or no longer exist thanks to new technologies.

There has also been increased attention on the potential environmental impacts of dams, such as fragmented river and water flows, obstructed fish movement and the collapse of fish stocks.

“Not all dams are created equal,” said Mike Connor, deputy secretary of the Interior Department.

And from a cost perspective, Hayes suggested that the price tag for maintaining an obsolete dam may outweigh the cost of removing the structure.

The CAP report is pressing policymakers to address the issue by incentivizing the removal of unnecessary dams, while modernizing the structures that are considered beneficial and necessary.

“Infrastructure problems often do not get the attention and funding that they deserve until they reach the level of disaster,” wrote Jenny Rowland, research and advocacy associate for CAP’s public lands project.

“Rather than jumping from crisis to crisis, policymakers should address America’s dam infrastructure problem before the safety risks, costs, and environmental damage become worse than they already are.”

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Tuesday, October 25, 2016

A passion for Lego became a full-time master-builder job for one fan

The tallest building in the world is 828 metres tall. It took 22-­million man hours over six years to construct, using 110,000 tonnes of concrete. The Lego version of the Burj Khalifa, which is on show at Stack Dubai, is four metres tall, weighs 100 kilograms, consists of 80,000 blocks and took four months to build.

But the meticulous endeavour by Lego’s craftsmen to create the replica with tiny plastic bricks, steel and lighting is, in its own way, just as ­extraordinary.

    The model was designed by British Lego master builder Edwin Diment, who researched the tower up close before creating blueprints and plans for the scaled-down version alongside skilled builder Matt Ledwich and a team of helpers. The model features working lights and thousands of transparent Lego elements that makes it shine on the outside.
    "I have personally visited and been up in the Burj Khalifa," says Diment, who makes a living from building incredible Lego ­models.

      "While this is a useful insight, it is no substitute for those engineering drawings to get the scaling correct.
      "We tend to work out a lot of the dimensions beforehand to make the build go smoothly and get everything in ­proportion."
      The 44-year-old enthusiast has been building with Lego since he was 2, but one particular creation ­altered his career path.
      "I’ve played with Lego all my life and my first Moc, or My Own Creation, was a giant robot when I was 6 years old," he says.

        "But it was when I created a huge Lego spaceship 15 years back that was the turning point. I posted it online and, to my surprise, discovered the whole Lego community. That’s when I joined the Brickish Association, the UK fan club for adult Lego builders."
        As an Afol – or Adult Fan of Lego – Diment has built more than 100 models. The one that caught the attention of the Lego community was of the aircraft carrier USS Intrepid, which was seven metres long and used about 250,000 bricks.

          "This was a collaborative build with my wife, Annie, and fellow Afol Ralph Savelsberg," he says. "We got to set the model up on board the real Intrepid in New York, which is now a­ ­museum."
          According to the Lego expert, the main prerequisites for becoming a master builder are passion and hard work.
          "It took nearly 40 years of Lego building to get to the skill level I now possess," says Diment.
          His efforts paid off when they won him a full-time builder’s job with Bright Bricks, a professional Lego-building company in the United Kingdom.

            "Quite a lot of my fellow Brickish members make a living from Lego bricks," he says. "My business partner, Duncan, became the UK’s only Lego-certified professional a few years ago and asked me to join, knowing my building skills."
            Diment says that in the past 12 months alone he has worked on more than 30 Lego models.
            "Altogether, the organisation has built about 300 models in the past year," he says. Most of the models created in the UK are stored in an industrial unit in Hampshire and only taken out and reassembled when they are on tour.

              His team began working on the Burj Khalifa model in May.
              "It took fours months, but this was because it was a very start-stop build," he says.
              "The addition of steel and lighting means we were sometimes waiting for parts to arrive and then built in short bursts. But overall, it probably took a month of actual build time."
              Transporting this labour of love is an even more challenging task.
              "It separates into three sections and is then braced inside a pallet box," he says. "It is then sent, along with a lot of other models, on board a shipping container."

                Diment’s next collaborative project will be with fellow UK-based Lego builders.

                Monday, October 24, 2016

                High-Tech Style Interior Design Ideas-Best Design Ideas

                Definition of High-tech style


                High-tech is an architectural design style that emerged in the Late Modernism period in the 1970s and has been widely used in the 1980s. Mostly Englishmen are major theorists and practitioners of high-tech. They are Norman Foster, Richard Rogers, Nicholas Grimshaw, James Stirling at some phase of his oeuvre, and the Italian Renzo Piano. This style originated in the industrial premises design, where all the elements are functional. Different elements of industrial aesthetics were used in the living accommodations, where they have been developed into a mixture of high technology and constructivism.

                High-tech style in the interior

                Constructional knots, fasteners, all kinds of joints and rivets, and an abundance of glass and metal details became the elements of the decor in this Interior where most of the engineering equipment is opened. Industrial building constructions, metal frames, and technical communications are common for the high-tech style. Pipes, valves, air ducts, elevators, lintels, beams, trusses, and cables are expressly put on a show. Functionality, lack of decor, and geometric shapes are expressed by glass and metal constructions, mainly of a monochrome palette, and the active usage of technical innovations. Metal, glass, plastic, natural and artificial stones are used as the finishing materials.

                2016 Architecture & Design Trends- Inside and Outside Have Become One-Series-4

                2016 Architecture & Design Trends

                Trends define a generation. In architecture, they create moods for the industry and determine how personal space may influence daily lifestyles. Before presenting our 7 current home design trends, it is important to clarify the difference between ‘trend’ and ‘fad.’ Often used synonymously, their meanings are quite different.
                A trend is something that catches on. It has the potential to persist for decades in some cases. What confuses many people is that a trend and a fad often look very similar in the beginning. Put concisely: a trend will give direction and a fad is just a craze. At HMH, we have solidified a custom design style that fuses classic trends with modern elements to become our own special brand of interior design and architecture.

                Now on to the architecture & design trends in 2016 that we are excited about! From sustainable materials to functional living spaces and art deco prints, here are 7 architecture and design trends in 2016 to keep an eye out for…

                Inside and Outside Have Become One

                indoor/outdoorWhat used to be a very defined line, or wall, is now blurred. Rooms now blend into the outdoors without worrying about a solid distinction. Homeowners want the exterior to be just as important as the interior living spaces and are including everything from full kitchens, to furniture and TVs.
                Private courtyards that open up to two or three rooms in the home extend the living and entertaining space and accessibility as well as the utility

                The secret life of building sites: the show that puts cranes and cement-mixers centre stage

                The secret life of building sites: the show that puts cranes and cement-mixers centre stage



                Sleepwalking Olive Oyl steps nonchalantly between swinging steel beamsin a 1930s Popeye cartoon, performing a death-defying aerial ballet high above a skyscraper construction site. On the adjacent screen, a Soviet animation from the 60s shows characters leaping on to a prefab concrete panel and being whisked up by a crane into the clouds, floating over a scene of mass workers’ housing down below. The video diptych continues in frenzied jump-cuts, one screen continuously depicting the presence of steel beams thrusting into the frame of American films and cartoons of the 20th century, the other showing the ubiquity of flying concrete slabs in their Russian counterparts. It is a mesmerising sequence, opposing beams to panels, riveters to welders, skyscrapers to housing blocks. In both, the structural system plays a heroic role as the saviour of the mechanised modern world.
                “We wanted to show how construction sites became places where national ideology and imagination were combined,” says Pedro Ignacio Alonso, who made the short film Choreographies with fellow Santiago-based architect Hugo Palmarola, on show as part of the Lisbon Architecture Triennale. “In the Khrushchev era, when prefabricated concrete-panel construction took off, these films were made to show people that panels were the bedrock of the new society, while in the US, the steel frame is depicted as the tool to build the country out of the Great Depression.”


                In both cases, the construction process is more important than the finished building, the welders and crane operators more visible than the architect, and the building site celebrated as the site of burgeoning nationhood as much as anything else. The video installation is part of a fascinating Building Site exhibition at the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation in Lisbon, the main part of this year’s triennale, which puts the process of making buildings in the spotlight, placing the seldom-explored politics of cranes, scaffolding and cement mixers centre stage.
                “So much discussion in contemporary architecture focuses on participation and the intangible social discourse of design,” says curator André Tavares, whose show is a conscious departure from the last edition’s emphasis on everything but buildings. “We wanted to tackle the act of construction, to show how design affects the organisation of the building site, the impact on labour conditions and the wider, physical realities of making architecture.”
                The result is a refreshing tonic at a time when so much architecture and design curation is intent on drifting off into critical theory and conceptual art , seemingly afraid of tackling any discussion of bricks and mortar or the underlying economy of construction head on. As Tavares puts it: “We have to stand up for architecture. It is a kind of knowledge, and in this exhibition we are trying to share some of that knowledge. We want people to know what architects do.”


                There are surprising stories aplenty for even the most hardened architecture nerds. Echoing the recent scandal of building contractors blacklisting construction site workers for union activity, the show opens with a report produced by provocative architectural thinker Cedric Price in the 70s, following a period of strike action in the UK, looking at how to make building sites happier places to work. Commissioned by Alistair McAlpine, the McAppy Report, as Price jokingly titled it, was at once rigorously systematic and characteristically bizarre, ranging from detailed advice for improving workers’ safety and wellbeing to designs for how cranes might be made more fun, with the addition of TV screens, heaters and sound systems (which sadly never got beyond his cartoonish sketch).
                It is important to understand the weight of architecture when the pencil becomes the shovel
                Next comes a film from the Brazilian social activist group Usina, which since 1990 has worked with communities in São Pauloto facilitate the design, construction and financing of their own co-operative housing. “It is important to understand the weight of architecture when the pencil becomes the shovel,” says the group. Thedesign of their homes is determined by what a single person in the co-op – from teenagers to elderly women – can carry on their own, leading to the choice of hollow terracotta blocks, laid with the ease of Lego bricks.

                A similar logic lay behind the phenomenal success of entrepreneurial French engineer François Hennebique, who patented a method of using steel reinforcement bars in concrete in 1892, which allowed all manner of complex structures to be built by unskilled workers. While steel reinforcement already existed, the Hennebique method utilised special stirrups that allowed a more efficient and precise calculation of structural loading, meaning he could remove himself from the building site and grow a worldwide empire from the comfort of his Parisian office.
                Exquisite technical drawings in the exhibition depict the matrix of bars underlying the structure of a sweeping staircase on the Champs-Élysées, alongside photos of the all-female construction team of a Portuguese bridge in 1906, revealing how the technology allowed women to get involved in this traditionally male domain.


                 Usina’s cooperative housing in São Paulo are designed around what one person can carry on their own Photograph: Lisbon Architecture Triennale
                Equally engrossing drawings produced a century later hang nearby, illuminating the tortuous story behind one of Portugal’s most celebrated modern buildings, the Casa da Música in Porto by OMA, used here to illustrate the effects of time on both the design and construction processes. The competition for the concert hall was launched in 1999, with an insanely optimistic completion date of 2001 (to coincide with Porto’s year as European capital of culture). It was a scramble that prompted OMA to recycle a design that was already in the office, taking the faceted form of a private villa and scaling it up to the size of an opera house.
                The main concrete walls were poured before the design was even completed, but the project was then hit by interminable delays because of changing political cycles, providing an extended period for the indulgent refinement of interior finishes and details. The stop-start programme is manifest in the final result: the bold concrete shell is the result of the forceful first moves, made with the confidence that only a deadline can bring, while the interior is enriched with material sophistication, developed with the luxury of time.


                There are other eye-opening behind-the-scenes glimpses, from the saga of David Chipperfield’s Neues Museum in Berlin to beautiful long-exposure photos by Michael Wesely depicting the ghostly armatures of construction sites. As a whole, the exhibition provides a profound snapshot, helping to explain why buildings turn out as they do by exposing the rarely told stories behind their making.

                Friday, October 21, 2016

                Inside the complicated legal terrain of the design-build delivery method

                Collaboration between architect and contractor from the very beginning of a project — where is the harm in that? That's the goal of the design-build project delivery method, which proponents say allows for collaboration by all stakeholders from the outset of a project, improving communication to the point that the need for change orders during the course of a job is greatly reduced.


                In fact, design-build projects have proven themselves schedule-and budget-friendly. According to a 1999 Penn State study, design-build's production schedule was 33% faster than the traditional design-bid-build. When researchers compared costs, they discovered that design-build came in 6% cheaper than design-bid-build as well.

                With benefits like these, it might be assumed that states have long been on board with the design-build concept. However, that isn't the case, as officials have pushed back due to what they consider a lack of historical data around the method and a lack of transparency.

                State-by-state obstacles

                Currently, about half of all U.S. states allow design-build with no limitations, according to Richard Thomas, director of state and local legislative affairs for Design-Build institute of America. Three states have no provisions for the delivery method, and others are a mixed bag in which some agencies allow it but not others.
                Citing the old adage of "all politics are local," Thomas said there are a few common threads as to why some agencies still don't permit design-build. Midwest states tend to have the most limitations, he said, with many contractors laboring under the assumption that more design-build projects will somehow result in an influx of construction teams from outside the area racing in to monopolize available work — an assumption that Thomas said was false.
                However, he noted that the biggest issue is typically labor. "Unions are very powerful special interests, particularly public employee unions," he said. On the other hand, Thomas added that some trade unions are supportive, although it varies depending on the region of the country. In fact, that also seems to be the rule of thumb when it comes to dealing with design-build laws around the country.

                The complex regulations of New York

                In New York for example, not only are there laws preventing state and local agencies from engaging in design-build, but it is the only state in the union that also has regulations in effect that prevent design-build in the private sector. It's a New York State Education Department law, according to John Patrick Curran, partner at Sive, Paget & Riesel in New York, that makes New York the outlier in the private design-build world.
                "There is a tension between the education law, which says only licensed design professionals can perform and be compensated for design services, and the ruling by the court of appeals in the Charlebois case that said (design-build is permitted) as long as a contractor has a contract with a design professional, and the contractor has a contract saying that," Curran said. Nevertheless, he said the Education Department maintains that design-build is not lawful.
                Adding to the confusion, the state passed a 2014 law, with the support of the governor, allowing certain state agencies to enter into design-build contracts, according to Curran. That new regulation did nothing to change the Education Department's law, and, further, some interpreted the new state measure "as a tacit acknowledgment by the legislature that it was still unlawful" in the majority of circumstances.

                The design-build environment in California and Texas

                Things are simpler in California, where the design-build laws are broadening, according to Lisa Dal Gallo, partner at Hanson Bridgett. "It's becoming very available," she said. The design-build process in California must be contractor-led because contractors are inherently better equipped to manage costs and schedules, she noted.
                The architect is still the architect of record, but the actual contract with a public agency must be with the contractor. State agencies are increasingly adopting design-build because "design-bid-build doesn't work" and is fraught with "delays, overruns and change orders," she said.
                "You're paying a designer to design something you may or not be able to bid," Dal Gallo said. There's no way to come up with firm costs until the project is put it out to bid, and when those numbers come back, the owner is either stuck with the lowest responsible bidder or has to pay the architect to go back to the drawing board. "It's a vicious cycle," she said.
                In Texas, Thomas said it seems that public agencies only want to use design-build for megaprojects, whereas in Florida, one is likely to see a multitude of design-build projects done every day for projects of all sizes.
                He added that some architects are skittish about design-build for fear that the design-build team will usurp the relationships they have built with owners. For example, in Missouri — a state that took years to hammer out full authority for design-build — architecture industry representatives were fine with design-build being authorized for use on transportation projects over $1 million, but were more comfortable with a minimum contract amount of $7 million for buildings.
                This, Thomas said, kept the possibility of design-build out of the typical architect's territory of customers. "It's important for us to try to get the whole industry in each state to collaborate and come up with a solution that works for everyone," he said.

                Why the design-build method is on the rise

                However, Thomas added that there is a new trend among architecture and design firms "to become integrated" and take on construction work as well as the design responsibilities. This is evident, particularly on the engineering side, he said, where designer-led water projects have grown dramatically in the last 10 years.
                A boon for the design-build cause was the federal stimulus package introduced in 2009, resulting in tremendous upticks in design-build transportation laws. "If you look at January 2009 and December of 2009, (it's like) night and day," Thomas said. After the stimulus initiatives, federal agencies began to prioritize schedule speed and turned to the benefits of design-build, he noted.
                The federal "nudge" toward design-build continues to this day. Design-build is put into the same category as HOV lanes and safety improvements, helping a state project to qualify for maximum funding, according to Thomas.
                However, even in the private sector, the design-build process has its hurdles, according to Shawn Goetzinger, partner and director of development at Phoenix design-build company Form Third. Owners sometimes believe that design-build will actually prevent some of the things that design-build delivers best — transparency and competition.
                In design-build, the owner is part of the entire design and construction process, unlike other delivery methods, and is able to see various bids from each subcontractor, which typically eases the fear of being taken advantage of by overcharging, according to Goetzinger. In addition, he said the design-build process "breaks down the legal walls" between architect and contractor that can often leave the owner managing the conflict by "pulling on opposite ends of the rope."

                What's next for design-build


                As for the future of design-build? Goetzinger said he believes that as agencies and private owners begin to "recognize the benefits and reduced hassle" of design-build, its popularity will continue to grow.
                Dal Gallo said that technology like building information modeling (BIM) will further propel state agencies to take advantage of design-build so that they can reap the full benefits of a collaborative BIM model. In addition, she said modern construction practices like Lean are most effective in a design-build environment.
                As for Thomas, he'll keep going state to state, advocating for what he believes is the most efficient and productive delivery method available, even though it won't always be a smooth road. "Change is hard and not everybody is going to embrace it quickly," he said.

                 

                Rise in material prices 'not good news' for construction firms-ABC

                Dive Brief:

                Construction material prices rose 0.3% between August and September, and they are 0.1% higher than September 2015, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Friday.

                September marked the first month since November 2014 that nonresidential construction input prices were up on a year-over-year basis.
                Four of 11 input prices dipped between August and September: prepared asphalt and tar roofing and siding products; iron and steel; steel mill products; and softwood lumber. The remaining seven material prices rose last month.

                Dive Insight:

                ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu said the month-to-month and year-over-year rise in prices "is not good news for U.S. nonresidential construction firms." He attributed the rebound in prices to stabilized energy prices and what he considers wage inflation in the U.S.
                In additional bad news for construction firms, Basu said contractor margins are tightening as rising labor and material costs leave firms struggling to make a profit. Prior to the Great Recession, contractors could transfer higher material costs to owners and clients, but "purchasers of construction services are now much less likely to accept significant cost inflation," he said in a release.
                The skilled labor shortage is an ongoing concern for the construction industry, as employers continue to struggle to find qualified workers and meet demand. A nationwide survey of 1,459 contractors — conducted by the Associated General Contractors of America during July and August — found that 69% are having difficulty finding workers to fill hourly craft positions. To combat the problem, 48% of surveyed companies said they have increased pay for hourly craft workers — echoing reports of rising labor costs.
                On a positive note, Basu predicted that despite the potential for a steady climb, material prices won't see a major surge in the coming months due to the strengthening U.S. dollar.

                Friday's materials price data coincides with a recent report from the ABC that found its Construction Confidence Index for the first half of 2016 fell slightly from the second half of 2015. Negative factors including the labor shortage and rising material prices were cited as contributing to the dip in confidence.

                Thursday, October 20, 2016

                How the construction labor shortage is colliding with project hiring requirements - Goals vs. reality

                When a massive construction project comes to town, it seems everyone scrambles to get a piece of the pie. Understandably, if public funding is at play, then the political pressure is on local officials, developers and contractors to make sure there is a visible, high-profile payoff for the community.
                Sometimes that pressure comes with special hiring requirements. Public officials and residents would like to see as much of those taxpayer dollars reinvested back into the community in the most concrete form of economic opportunity there is, a weekly paycheck.

                However, in an environment of ongoing construction labor shortages, are hiring requirements on publicly funded projects feasible, or do they set up contractors for major fines and penalties?

                Cases of success and failure

                Sometimes, it works. Mortenson Construction, by all accounts, is a pro at meeting diversity and hiring mandates. While building the new $1.1 billion Minnesota Vikings U.S. Bank Stadium, it surpassed the project's minority workforce goal of 32% by five percentage points. All of those workers were Minnesota residents, with approximately 400 from the local Minneapolis area. Not too shabby, but what if that requirement had been limited to Minneapolis alone? The economic impact analyses were state-based in the case of the Vikings facility, so, aside from a few targeted zip codes in Minneapolis, there are no numbers readily available to reveal how much of the workforce included Minneapolis residents.

                "Mandates don't get at the heart of the problem"

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                Even if the target had been 32% Minneapolis hires, it is significantly less than the 51% required by the City of Detroit for the Red Wings in its project development agreement for the team's new $627.5 downtown hockey venue, Little Caesars Arena. State-issued bonds ($250 million) and city property taxes ($35 million) have provided a significant chunk of the venue's construction funding, so it follows that the local hiring requirements would be higher than other projects. But in this case, Michigan residents alone aren't enough. According to the agreement, 51% of workers have to be "bona fide Detroit residents," and 30% of construction contracts must go to Detroit-based companies.
                The project has exceeded the company goals, with an estimated 38% of local firms under contract. However, things haven't gone that well on the local-hire side. The City of Detroit last week announced that it had fined several contractors a total of $500,000 for failing to meet the hiring mandate. By all accounts, project developer Olympia Development and general contractor Barton-Malow-Hunt-White — a joint venture of Michigan contractors Barton Malow Co. and White Construction, along with Indianapolis-based Hunt Construction — and its subcontractors have been aggressive in trying to attract local workers. They've held job fairs and organized their own training sessions in order to entice residents to learn a trade.
                Even Detroit's Portia Roberson, who directs the city's office of human rights and monitors how well the project meets workforce requirements, told the Detroit Free Press that she believes arena officials have made their best efforts to draw in local workers. The fines, she said, would go into a fund to help provide worker training for future projects.

                The potential pitfalls of requiring local workers

                This begs the question, however: What if there just aren’t enough workers in some areas of the country to meet such ambitious hiring goals?
                Whether it pertains to local or minority hiring requirements, 51% is abnormally high, according to Andrew Richards, co-managing partner at Kaufman Dolowich & Voluck. For example, he said the federal and state minority mandates in the New York area typically top out at 30%, "and they can't meet the goals here either."
                Richards added, "They're not realistic. The government shouldn't be in business. It wants to wave a magic wand without any sense of reality."
                "Any firm will do its utmost to make sure individuals have training, but you can't teach experience"
                Brian Turmail, senior executive director of public affairs for the Associated General Contractors of America, said the AGC "has long opposed any kind of hiring preference being connected to construction projects." Two-thirds of AGC members are reporting problems finding qualified workers, and if most contractors could fill their workforces with local hires, they would, he said.
                However, according to Turmail, Detroit and other cities that are having trouble meeting hiring requirements could be reaping the consequences of their own actions. School systems all over the country have stripped their programs of career and vocational training, leaving little in the way of newcomers entering the construction workforce. Turmail called the fact that the Red Wings arena contractors held job fairs and training programs and still couldn't find enough workers a red flag. "Mandates don't get at the heart of the problem," he said.
                In addition, Turmail said that some firms, in the scramble to find workers to meet hiring requirements, might bring on workers a little too soon, making the project site a more dangerous place for everyone. The first 90 days on the job is the most perilous time for new hires. Some companies might even be tempted to bring on workers who are not quite ready in order to avoid hefty fines like the one levied by Detroit, he noted.
                "Any firm will do its utmost to make sure individuals have training, but you can't teach experience," Turmail said. "If they'd had tech education, they would have that experience. That's exactly where they learn it."

                Similar obstacles in minority hiring requirements

                A similar paradox can also be found in minority hiring, according to Richards. He said mentoring programs would go the furthest in building up a reliable stock of minority contractors, but the laws simply don't permit the kind of relationship between minority and non-minority contractors that would be the most beneficial.
                "Established companies work as mentors, but law enforcement has to back off," he said. Richards added that he believes a mentor should be able to provide tangible assistance by lending the smaller contractor equipment or providing supervisory assistance in a pinch, but those acts are often against the law.
                "Any help they give them is deemed to violate requirements and constitute fraud. No company wants to get indicted," he said. Nevertheless, Richards said that mentors are a necessity because the typical small minority contractor "can't go from a $1 million to a $25 million contract" without one.

                What's next for hiring mandates?

                So where are hiring requirements headed? Most likely up, according to experts. Even with construction organizations predicting unprecedented skilled worker shortages in the not-too-distant future, San Francisco has a 50%, across-the-board local hiring requirement currently being phased in, with the city mandating that half of all workers on city-funded work be residents of San Francisco or San Francisco County by 2017.
                Requirements like these concern industry experts like Turmail because contractors are already having a hard time meeting their staffing needs.

                "The real problem is failure to invest in tech education," he said. "We know it's the more effective way (to boost the local workforce) unless your goal is simply to collect fines."

                Wednesday, October 19, 2016

                Smart Shopping Corporate Shopping Malls

                Smart Shopping

                Retailers are adopting visible light communication technology to customize the shopping experience with data gathering and information delivery via LED fixtures.
                In 2015, shoppers at a Carrefour supermarket in Lille, France, became some of the first in the world to try out a new retail experience: With the assistance of their smartphones and technology embedded in the 800 linear LED fixtures overhead, they were directed to the exact location of the products on their list. The technology that enables this experience to work—visible light communication (VLC)—is one of the latest evolutions in smart lighting, in this case offering retailers improved customer data collection, and shoppers a highly customized in-store retail experience.


                So far, only a few lighting manufacturers are exploring VLC. Philips, which piloted the technology with Carrefour, has been working on VLC-enabled LED luminaires for the past decade, and it holds one of the foundational patents for the technology. The company is joined by other lighting manufacturers including Current, Powered by GE and Acuity Brands in their collective efforts to design luminaires that incorporate VLC technology. With the near ubiquity of smartphones and the rise of online retailers as a threat to brick-and-mortar stores, technologies that can help retailers to better reach the consumer at the traditional point of sale are beginning to enter the marketplace.


                The Potential for VLC

                VLC technology relies on LEDs’ programmability. While fluorescent, incandescent, and halogen lamps deliver a steady stream of light, LEDs can be modulated to flicker at specific intervals. Although imperceptible to the human eye, the light creates a unique pattern when turning on and off. That sequence is captured by customers’ smartphone image sensors, and with help from a companion app the data is turned into precise location information—essentially, an indoor GPS.


                Because GPS pinpoints users’ locations with satellites, the technology that powers smartphone maps does not typically work indoors. For years, technologists have tried to come up with a solution, testing Wi-Fi, ultrasound, and Bluetooth low energy (LE). Prior to the emergence of VLC, Bluetooth LE was the prevailing choice, thanks to its relative ease of installation. While Bluetooth LE works regardless of where the smartphone is on the user’s person, VLC requires the device to be uncovered and oriented with its screen-side camera facing the ceiling. However, Bluetooth LE is less precise than VLC, with an accuracy of a couple of meters, compared to VLC’s 10 centimeters (3.93 inches).

                It’s that level of accuracy that brick-and-mortar retailers are after. For example, if a customer comes into the store to buy a loaf of bread, they could take their smartphone, orient its screen-side camera toward the ceiling, and open up the retailer’s shopping app that they had previously downloaded. The apps typically incorporate a shopping list function, so the user can create a list of items that they intend to purchase based on the store’s inventory. The app then turns that list into a personalized map, drawing a route from the exact location of one product to another, and pushing coupons or other notifications along the way. So, the customer tells the app that they are looking for a loaf bread and it takes them there.

                With VLC, location information is transmitted via the strobing of the LEDs, which is imperceptible to the human eye, while further alerts, promotions, and product information is delivered over Wi-Fi or the phone’s cellular network service. The level of data that can be collected varies. For example, Acuity Brands, which sources its VLC technology from Qualcomm’s Lumicast for its ByteLight indoor positioning technology, offers such services as heat maps and data analysis to identify merchandising hotspots. The technology is equally usefully for back-of-house operations, providing product tracking in stockrooms, and allowing workers to locate a customer in the store who has used the app to indicate that they need assistance.


                Philips

                This Carrefour supermarket in northeast France is pioneering the use of VLC in its overhead LED fixtures as an indoor version of GPS to guide customers to the products they want.
                Understanding the Challenges
                While retail is ahead of other industries in adopting many LED systems, they’re holding back on VLC. One contributing factor is that the use cases for retailers gathering consumer data and pushing out coupons and other notifications are few—a consequence of their hesitancy to install the systems in the first place. Another, perhaps bigger, challenge stems from LEDs’ inherent benefit: a long life cycle. “We tell retailers that the LEDs they put in the ceiling are going to last for 10 to 15 years,” says Maulin Patel, general manager of intelligent enterprises at Current, Powered by GE. “You can put in an LED with no bells and whistles, and wait for another 15 years until you can upgrade it and make it smarter. Or, you can go with smart LEDs [from the start].” With a new technology such as VLC, Patel says, many retailers would rather watch their competitors work out the kinks than be the pioneers with this new platform.

                Although lighting rep agencies are often the ones to work with facility or utility managers when selling new systems, a key stakeholder in the integration of indoor positioning technology is the marketing and merchandising team. “It’s a multi-touch sales process in which we have to discuss value in many different contexts,” says Dan Ryan, vice president of product, IoT solutions at Acuity Brands. “Our core is energy-efficient LEDs and controls, but we have to tell that story side-by-side with the story about indoor positioning.” Many use cases for VLC in the retail environment are still to be discovered, further delaying the conversation.

                The richness of the data and the effectiveness of the service relies on shoppers not only choosing to opt in, but opting in even though it means giving up a degree of anonymity, particularly in the case of the location identification feature. Lighting manufacturers and retailers have responded to consumer privacy concerns by keeping VLC voluntary. For one, shoppers must not only have on their person a smartphone with the retailer app downloaded in order for VLC to track their movements, but the user also needs to hold the phone with the camera facing the overhead luminaires. That’s all much more intentional than a Bluetooth beacon, which tracks customers by pinging the phone (held in hand or stowed in a pocket or purse) using a radio signal.

                Current, Powered by GE’s VLC-based apps allow shoppers to use the indoor navigation tools regardless of whether they give the app permission to collect their data. And Acuity Brands’ ByteLight indoor positioning technology combines Bluetooth LE and VLC, allowing customers to benefit from in-store tracking, for which they must opt-in, even when the phone’s screen and camera are not facing the luminaires. Such integration could make it easier for customers to use the technology, encouraging adoption. The company intends to provide retailers with mobile VLC software that can be integrated into their own apps. “With that, [retailers are] free to do whatever they want,” Acuity’s Ryan says. “They can build a couponing experience; they can build navigation experience.”


                Philips
                Aswaaq, a supermarket chain in the United Arab Emirates, began experimenting with Philips’ VLC technology last year, and is releasing its companion app this fall.
                Early Adopters and Applications
                VLC is still an emerging technology, but early adopters are exploring its potential. One example is food retailer Aswaaq, based in the United Arab Emirates, who installed Philips’ VLC lighting last year. The retailer is working with digital indoor mapping company Aisle411 to build its companion app—which will include a shopping list feature similar to Carrefour’s—and plans to release it to the public at one of its locations this fall. The retailer then will assess customers’ responses to VLC before deciding whether to roll it out to the rest of its locations.

                Meanwhile, Current, Powered by GE, is putting together an “ecosystem” of software vendors, Patel says, who will contribute apps to the platform that their fixtures will use. One app, for example, will target clothing retailers to track inventory to determine if a dress shirt has been put on the wrong display rack.

                In Carrefour’s VLC pilot, the company’s app was downloaded approximately 4,000 times. Shoppers received coupons—a decision based on survey data indicating that customers wanted promotions but had trouble finding them in-store. While Carrefour is still analyzing the data to determine whether or not to implement VLC in more locations, the company is also looking into other ways to use the technology. For starters, they’ve created a Web-enabled shopping cart that relies on VLC for location services and features a touch-screen interface to assist shoppers in finding products.

                The potential for VLC extends beyond retail to include object-tracking in factories and warehouses, optimizing workflow in a healthcare environment, visual zoning or geo-fencing, and more applications in which there is LED overhead lighting and a workflow or process to optimize. “There are so many things that we are doing in different spaces,” Patel says. “It’s a very exciting technology and an exciting time.” •

                Architecture & Design Trends 2016-Series-3 FLex Rooms

                Architecture & Design Trends 2016-Series-3 FLex Rooms

                Trends define a generation. In architecture, they create moods for the industry and determine how personal space may influence daily lifestyles. Before presenting our 7 current home design trends, it is important to clarify the difference between ‘trend’ and ‘fad.’ Often used synonymously, their meanings are quite different.

                A trend is something that catches on. It has the potential to persist for decades in some cases. What confuses many people is that a trend and a fad often look very similar in the beginning. Put concisely: a trend will give direction and a fad is just a craze. At HMH, we have solidified a custom design style that fuses classic trends with modern elements to become our own special brand of interior design and architecture.

                Now on to the architecture & design trends in 2016 that we are excited about! From sustainable materials to functional living spaces and art deco prints, here are 7 architecture and design trends in 2016 to keep an eye out for…

                Flex Rooms

                Tying in with open concept design, homes are including more and more spaces that have less defined purposes. Architects are now designing flex rooms with the ability to easily transform into a new area without a complete makeover or costly renovation.
                This is especially true as the aging population grows. Adaptations to make independent living simpler, or adjusting a family home for the addition of an older family member are two main drivers in this growing trend.

                Tuesday, October 18, 2016

                5 myths about New York City skyscrapers, debunked



                For more than a decade, Jason M. Barr has been crunching a comprehensive data set about New York’s most famous structures. His book, Building the Skyline: The Birth and Growth of Manhattan’s Skyscrapers, is a little bit different from other skyscraper books you might have read; it’s not so much an architectural meditation on towers, but more a fact-packed economic history of the Manhattan skyline.

                Investing in New York City real estate is a sure bet


                Barr looks at the financial implications of Manhattan’s high-minded landscape, from the construction costs of the first skyscrapers to how supertalls impact the neighborhoods around them. What’s most fascinating about Barr’s book is how skillfully he uses all of this data to bust long-held misconceptions about New York City’s development. Here are five particularly stubborn myths that Curbed asked Barr to debunk.

                Manhattan’s skyline is shorter in the middle due to a lack of bedrock

                FALSE. "Perhaps one of the most puzzling aspects of the Manhattan skyline is that skyscrapers are ‘missing’ from the area north of City Hall and south of Midtown. One of the most commonly given reasons for this is that the bedrock is particularly deep in the area north of City Hall. It is believed that this deep bedrock prevented developers from building skyscrapers there. Skyscrapers, because of their weight and size, should be anchored to the bedrock to prevent them from leaning over or settling in an uneven matter.
                There is no evidence that the bedrock valley was a reason why no skyscrapers [were built] north of downtown. The real reason is because the neighborhoods north of Chambers Street were where the historical tenement districts and factories were located. These were neighborhoods that were of little interest to high-rise developers because the rents there were too low to justify building tall."

                Skyscrapers are just tall, skinny versions of developers’, um, egos


                FALSE. "It’s true that the second half of the 1920s was a period that roared. I don’t dispute that. It was one of the city’s greatest periods of skyscraper construction. But very little research has been done to ask why that’s so. Most of the discussion focuses on the three-way race for the world’s tallest building which took place within a one-year space (1930–1931) between the Bank of Manhattan Building (40 Wall Street), the Chrysler Building, and the Empire State Building.
                "While I don’t deny that from time to time there are buildings that are constructed as economically ‘too tall,’ the truth is that the vast majority of buildings are built because of profit maximization. The heights of buildings in New York City over the last 125 years consistently demonstrate a strong relationship to the underlying economic climate—as rents and real estate prices go up, so do building heights on average, when rents and prices go down, so do building heights."

                Every time a new "tallest" building is finished, financial collapse follows

                FALSE. "Several years ago, an economist working for a major international bank created a graphic timeline that purported to show that major financial crises happen around the time when a new world’s tallest building is coming online. This prompted him to call this the Skyscraper Curse—that we should run for the hills when we see a new world’s tallest building.
                The top graph shows the total additions to the skyline each year in feet. The bottom shows the height of the tallest building completed each year (in feet). During depression years, for example, the tallest building may be only at 50 feet, while during heady times, buildings can be taller than 1000 feet. Since 1890, there have been only five major skyscraper construction cycles. Jason M. Barr
                "This is an utter fiction and an example of what I call Rorschach Economics—the mind naturally creates patterns that don’t really exist, and people make the pairing between skyscraper heights and economic downturns because it ‘feels’ like it should be so. But when one actually does a series of statistical, objective tests, one can show the curse is not true."